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Table 4: Breakdown of Predicted Votes by Constituency
PARISH
CON‐
CODE
N
VOTE RAW
SCORE
MIGHT RAW
SCORE
NOT/
C’SAY
RESULT%
% DIF
PREDICT
COMMENT
PNP
JLP
PNP
JLP
PNP
JLP
NOT/
C'SAY
KGN
KE
20
8
3
1.5
0.5
5
47.5
17.5
25
63.1 PNP
CLEAR
KC
20
8
3
1.5
0
6
47.5
15
30
68.4 PNP
CLEAR
KW
20
1
9
0
0.5
9
0.5
47.5
45
98.9 JLP
CLEAR
AEC
17
7
4
0.5
0
5
44.1
23.5
29.4
46.7 PNP
ADVANTAGE
AER
32
8
6
1.5
1
11
29.6
21.8
34.3
26.3 PNP
MILD ADV
AE
31
7
8
3
1
8
32.2
29
25.8
9
UNCLEAR
ANC
16
2
4
1
1
6
18.7
31.2
37.5
40 JLP
ADVANTAGE
ANE
22
1
5
2
1
10
13.6
27.2
45.4
50 JLP
CLEAR
ANW
15
3
6
0.5
0.5
4
23.3
43.3
26.6
46.1 JLP
ADVANTAGE
ASE
19
6
2
1
1
7
36.8
15.7
36.8
57.3 PNP
CLEAR
ASW
15
6
2
1.5
0.5
2
50
16.6
13.3
66.8 PNP
CLEAR
AS
16
9
1
1
0
4
62.5
6.2
25
90 PNP
CLEAR
AWC
19
5
5
0
1.5
6
26.3
34.2
31.5
23 JLP
MILD ADV
AWR
20
5
6
1.5
1
4
32.5
35
20
7.1
UNCLEAR
AW
16
6
2
1
1
4
43.7
18.7
25
57.2 PNP
CLEAR
AND
THOM
TW
29
5
6
2.5
2
9
25.8
27.5
31
6.1
UNCLEAR
TE
42
7
6
2.5
1
20
22.6
16.6
47.6
26.5 PNP
MILD ADV
WEST
WC
25
7
4
1
1.5
10
32
22
40
31.2 PNP
MILD ADV
WE
19
8
3
0.5
0
7
44.7
15.7
36.8
64.8 PNP
CLEAR
WW
20
9
6
0.5
0
4
47.5
30
20
36.8 PNP
ADVANTAGE
MARY
MSE
29
4
4
2.5
0.5
15
22.4
15.5
51.7
21.7 PNP
MILD ADV
MC
25
6
4
2.5
0.5
9
34
18
36
47 PNP
ADVANTAGE
MW
25
5
5
1.5
0.5
10
26
22
40
15.3 PNP
MILD ADV
ELIZ
ENE
18
6
4
2
0.5
3
44.4
25
16.6
43.6 PNP
ADVANTAGE
ENW
16
3
4
0.5
2
21.8
37.5
25
41.8 JLP
ADVANTAGE
4
ESE
16
4
3
2
0
5
37.5
18.7
31.2
50.1 PNP
ADVANTAGE
ESW
22
5
4
2
2
5
31.8
27.2
22.7
14.4
UNCLEAR
CLAR
CLC
20
2
7
1.5
2
4
17.5
45
20
61.1 JLP
ADVANTAGE
CLN
17
6
3
1
2
2
41.1
29.4
11.7
28.4 PNP
MILD ADV
CLNC
17
3
6
0.5
0.5
6
20.5
38.2
35.2
46.3 JLP
ADVANTAGE
CLNW
15
6
3
1.5
1
1
50
26.6
6.6
46.8 PNP
ADVANTAGE
CLSE
20
6
6
0
1
6
30
35
30
14.2
UNCLEAR
CLSW
16
5
3
1.5
0.5
4
40.6
21.8
25
46.3 PNP
ADVANTAGE
CATH
CC
15
2
5
0
0.5
7
13.3
36.6
46.6
63.6 JLP
CLEAR
CEC
16
4
2
1
1
6
31.2
18.2
37.5
40 PNP
ADVANTAGE
CE
18
7
3
1
0.5
4
44.4
19.4
22.2
56.3 PNP
CLEAR
CNC
17
4
3
2
1
4
35.2
23.5
23.5
33.2 PNP
ADVANTAGE
21